TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Pasquale De Giorgio in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Pasquale De Giorgio. This market will resolve to 'Pasquale De Giorgio' if Pasquale De Giorgio advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Pasquale De Giorgio in the M25 Pozzuoli, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Pasquale De Giorgio. This market will resolve to 'Pasquale De Giorgio' if Pasquale De Giorgio advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Pozzuoli fight between Andrea Paolini and Pasquale De Giorgio. The platform will look to established sports news outlets and official fight records to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. This process ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause movement. Official announcements about fight conditions or changes to the card could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a change in venue or a last-minute opponent substitution, could also significantly shift the odds.