TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Colombo and Filippo Pecorini in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against Filippo Pecorini. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Pecorini' if Filippo Pecorini advances against Andrea Colombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Colombo and Filippo Pecorini in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against Filippo Pecorini. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Pecorini' if Filippo Pecorini advances against Andrea Colombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market’s efficiency is driven by arbitrage opportunities, encouraging traders to correct mispricings and align the market price with their best estimate of the true probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Pozzuoli race, determining which competitor achieved the fastest time. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to their shareholding in the winning outcome, while those who backed other competitors will forfeit their stake. This process ensures a fair and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either Andrea Colombo or Filippo Pecorini could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day, or changes to the race course itself, could also impact trader sentiment. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering their predictions could also cause fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from a single participant or group could create short-term price movements, though the market typically self-corrects over time.