TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Emile Hudd in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Emile Hudd. This market will resolve to 'Emile Hudd' if Emile Hudd advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Emile Hudd in the M25 Pozzuoli, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Emile Hudd. This market will resolve to 'Emile Hudd' if Emile Hudd advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from initial expert predictions. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be under- or overestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes in the Pozzuoli M25 match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Pozzuoli M25 match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results, with current volume at $786.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pozzuoli M25 match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market leading up to Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the Pozzuoli M25 match could significantly impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volumes from influential participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving and anticipating potential shifts in probability.