TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 3:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Loic Namigandet Tenguere in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Loic Namigandet Tenguere. This market will resolve to 'Loic Namigandet Tenguere' if Loic Namigandet Tenguere advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Loic Namigandet Tenguere in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Loic Namigandet Tenguere. This market will resolve to 'Loic Namigandet Tenguere' if Loic Namigandet Tenguere advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the event, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered, as this market dynamically adjusts to new information and opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Toby Martin and Loic Namigandet Tenguere, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy. The shares will then be settled, paying out 1 USDC for winning shares and 0 USDC for losing shares. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could shift market sentiment. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also have an impact. Unexpected developments in the broader tournament or league could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning will likely cause the market to adjust accordingly, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.