TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timeo Trufelli and Matiej Reiter in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Matiej Reiter. This market will resolve to 'Matiej Reiter' if Matiej Reiter advances against Timeo Trufelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timeo Trufelli and Matiej Reiter in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Matiej Reiter. This market will resolve to 'Matiej Reiter' if Matiej Reiter advances against Timeo Trufelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many participants. As more information becomes available and opinions evolve, the odds on Polymarket may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on whether the crowd identifies opportunities the sportsbook missed. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers in accuracy.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Timeo Trufelli will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the M25 Plaisir + H match between Timeo Trufelli and Matiej Reiter will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to verify the final result and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, based on established and verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches, or significant media coverage focusing on either Timeo Trufelli or Matiej Reiter, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants can quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall perception of the likely winner.