TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timeo Trufelli and Evan Jarzaguet in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Evan Jarzaguet. This market will resolve to 'Evan Jarzaguet' if Evan Jarzaguet advances against Timeo Trufelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timeo Trufelli and Evan Jarzaguet in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Evan Jarzaguet. This market will resolve to 'Evan Jarzaguet' if Evan Jarzaguet advances against Timeo Trufelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's important to note that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Timeo Trufelli vs Evan Jarzaguet match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Timeo Trufelli vs Evan Jarzaguet match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Sep 13, 2026.