TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Romeo Nobili and Alex Kobelt in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Romeo Nobili' if Romeo Nobili advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Romeo Nobili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Romeo Nobili and Alex Kobelt in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Romeo Nobili' if Romeo Nobili advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Romeo Nobili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of an outcome in the Romeo Nobili vs Alex Kobelt match, they can express that view through trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the market price to diverge from the sportsbook's initial offering. This difference can indicate where the crowd sees value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Romeo Nobili vs Alex Kobelt match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Romeo Nobili vs Alex Kobelt match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased shares correspond to the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning side, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 14, 2026. News regarding player injuries to either Romeo Nobili or Alex Kobelt would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the match location, or even updates on their recent performance in other tournaments, could also shift trader sentiment. Any public statements from analysts offering strong opinions on the likely winner of the Romeo Nobili vs Alex Kobelt match could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price.