TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Croisy and Alexander-Ivan Popadic in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Croisy' if Paul Croisy advances against Alexander-Ivan Popadic. This market will resolve to 'Alexander-Ivan Popadic' if Alexander-Ivan Popadic advances against Paul Croisy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Croisy and Alexander-Ivan Popadic in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Croisy' if Paul Croisy advances against Alexander-Ivan Popadic. This market will resolve to 'Alexander-Ivan Popadic' if Alexander-Ivan Popadic advances against Paul Croisy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by real-money wagers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments between the two. If a significant difference exists, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment and information surrounding the Paul Croisy vs Alexander-Ivan Popadic match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Paul Croisy vs Alexander-Ivan Popadic match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Sep 13, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant bets from influential traders or large volume spikes could cause noticeable price fluctuations as the market reacts to new information and trading activity.