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OPEN INTEREST:
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402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mickael Kaouk and Patrick Zahraj in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Mickael Kaouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mickael Kaouk and Patrick Zahraj in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Mickael Kaouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it's interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or risk aversion between the two types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Kaouk vs Zahraj match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Plaisir + H: Mickael Kaouk vs Patrick Zahraj match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Mickael Kaouk or Patrick Zahraj could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in related matches, or broader shifts in public opinion about the players’ chances, could also contribute to price movements. Major announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility, as traders adjust their expectations based on the new information.