TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Ponchet and Mickael Kaouk in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Ponchet' if Matt Ponchet advances against Mickael Kaouk. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Matt Ponchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Ponchet and Mickael Kaouk in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Ponchet' if Matt Ponchet advances against Mickael Kaouk. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Matt Ponchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Ponchet vs Kaouk match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions, offering a real-time view of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Matt Ponchet and Mickael Kaouk, as reported by the governing body for M25 Plaisir. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, or if the match ends in a draw. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for either Matt Ponchet or Mickael Kaouk could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent form or public sentiment surrounding the match could all contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.