TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Van Herck and TSIRY RABETRANO in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Van Herck' if Louis Van Herck advances against TSIRY RABETRANO. This market will resolve to 'TSIRY RABETRANO' if TSIRY RABETRANO advances against Louis Van Herck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Van Herck and TSIRY RABETRANO in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Van Herck' if Louis Van Herck advances against TSIRY RABETRANO. This market will resolve to 'TSIRY RABETRANO' if TSIRY RABETRANO advances against Louis Van Herck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to obtain a payout of 1 unit if the corresponding outcome occurs. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Plaisir + H: Louis Van Herck vs TSIRY RABETRANO match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even significant shifts in public opinion, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how the probabilities evolve as the event approaches.