TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Rafael Lasfargeas and Pierre Ngijol Carre in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Rafael Lasfargeas' if Diego Rafael Lasfargeas advances against Pierre Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Ngijol Carre' if Pierre Ngijol Carre advances against Diego Rafael Lasfargeas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Rafael Lasfargeas and Pierre Ngijol Carre in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Rafael Lasfargeas' if Diego Rafael Lasfargeas advances against Pierre Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Ngijol Carre' if Pierre Ngijol Carre advances against Diego Rafael Lasfargeas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being placed on potential outcomes. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket, and the market is open for trading until it resolves. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within the Polymarket ecosystem.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Diego Rafael Lasfargeas vs Pierre Ngijol Carre match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will announce the resolution and payout details following official confirmation.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in broader betting trends could drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to its resolution.