TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Magureanu and Alex Kobelt in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Magureanu' if Cristian Magureanu advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Cristian Magureanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Magureanu and Alex Kobelt in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Magureanu' if Cristian Magureanu advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Cristian Magureanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift more dynamically as new information emerges, and they can sometimes be more accurate than traditional odds, especially closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds may offer different value depending on your own assessment of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Plaisir + H match between Cristian Magureanu and Alex Kobelt. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the players’ relative strengths could lead to changes in trading activity, causing the price of shares to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.