TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitek Horak and Filip Martinovic in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitek Horak' if Vitek Horak advances against Filip Martinovic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Martinovic' if Filip Martinovic advances against Vitek Horak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitek Horak and Filip Martinovic in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitek Horak' if Vitek Horak advances against Filip Martinovic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Martinovic' if Filip Martinovic advances against Vitek Horak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who have a financial stake in accurately predicting the outcome. While sportsbook odds can serve as a useful reference point, prediction markets often provide a more nuanced and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments among participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Pardubice boxing match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the match. The winning fighter, as determined by the official decision, will dictate the settlement of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and rulings from the relevant governing bodies. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or any controversies surrounding the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis, could also impact the odds. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the event, such as changes to the fight’s location or rules, could also cause the market to react. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move the market.