TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stepan Baum and Przemyslaw Michocki in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stepan Baum' if Stepan Baum advances against Przemyslaw Michocki. This market will resolve to 'Przemyslaw Michocki' if Przemyslaw Michocki advances against Stepan Baum. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stepan Baum and Przemyslaw Michocki in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stepan Baum' if Stepan Baum advances against Przemyslaw Michocki. This market will resolve to 'Przemyslaw Michocki' if Przemyslaw Michocki advances against Stepan Baum. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price isn't determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of buyers and sellers, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers, and will determine which fighter won the match. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause movement. Changes in public perception, such as shifts in expert analysis or social media sentiment, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or rules might also lead to price adjustments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market before Sep 27, 2026.