TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 25, 2026
Closed: Sep 25, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stepan Baum and Jakub Vrtilka in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stepan Baum' if Stepan Baum advances against Jakub Vrtilka. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Stepan Baum. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stepan Baum and Jakub Vrtilka in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stepan Baum' if Stepan Baum advances against Jakub Vrtilka. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Stepan Baum. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market’s prices adjust dynamically as more information becomes available and traders react to news and events. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer and more informed opinions are expressed through trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Pardubice motorcycle race, determining which rider – Stepan Baum or Jakub Vrtilka – achieved the best result. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the final standings and determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding rider injuries, mechanical issues with their motorcycles, or changes in weather conditions at the Pardubice track could all significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about race strategy or team support could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion or expert predictions regarding the riders’ chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the prices of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.