TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Michnev and Sebastian Dominko in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Michnev' if Petr Michnev advances against Sebastian Dominko. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Petr Michnev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Michnev and Sebastian Dominko in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Michnev' if Petr Michnev advances against Sebastian Dominko. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Petr Michnev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines with a built-in margin for profit, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially favor one rider, the prediction market can reveal a different assessment based on more nuanced information or specialized knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives on the likelihood of each rider winning the Pardubice motorcycle race.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Pardubice motorcycle race, determining the winner between Petr Michnev and Sebastian Dominko, will be used to determine the winning share in this market. The platform will verify the results against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the race.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the race. Any news regarding rider injuries, mechanical issues with their motorcycles, or changes in weather conditions at the Pardubice track could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or rider performance in practice sessions could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 30, 2026.