TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 12:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Kalin Ivanovski in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Kalin Ivanovski. This market will resolve to 'Kalin Ivanovski' if Kalin Ivanovski advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Kalin Ivanovski in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Kalin Ivanovski. This market will resolve to 'Kalin Ivanovski' if Kalin Ivanovski advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the probability of Patrik Homola winning the race, and this price will fluctuate until the event concludes. The volume traded also provides insight into how strongly people feel about each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final official results of the M25 Pardubice motorcycle race will determine the winner. The platform will then verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding the condition of either rider, Patrik Homola or Kalin Ivanovski, such as injuries or mechanical issues, would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts leading up to the race are also crucial, as conditions can heavily impact motorcycle racing. Unexpected changes in track conditions or the announcement of any rule modifications could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any expert analysis or commentary predicting a change in performance could also contribute to fluctuations in the market.