TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Cernovicky and Sebastian Heinrich in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Cernovicky' if Jakub Cernovicky advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Jakub Cernovicky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Cernovicky and Sebastian Heinrich in the M25 Pardubice, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Cernovicky' if Jakub Cernovicky advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Jakub Cernovicky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular rider, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and isn’t influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Pardubice motorcycle race will be used to determine the winner, and this will be reflected in the market's settlement. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final odds at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding rider injuries, mechanical issues with their motorcycles, or changes in weather conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about rider strategies or team changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major endorsements or public statements from influential figures in the racing world might sway perceptions of each rider’s chances. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.