TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between DOMINIK Recek and Lukas Pokorny in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'DOMINIK Recek' if DOMINIK Recek advances against Lukas Pokorny. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against DOMINIK Recek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between DOMINIK Recek and Lukas Pokorny in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'DOMINIK Recek' if DOMINIK Recek advances against Lukas Pokorny. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against DOMINIK Recek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement about the likely result. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Recek vs Pokorny match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Pardubice match between Dominik Recek and Lukas Pokorny. The platform will verify the winner through official sources to determine which outcome pays out. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth nothing. It’s important to monitor official announcements regarding the match to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or potential rule changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could sway the market, particularly if they express strong opinions about either player’s chances of winning. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.