TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Thomas Faurel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Thomas Faurel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share priced at 60 means there is a 60% implied probability of that outcome being correct. The market’s price is entirely driven by supply and demand from traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thomas Faurel versus Yannis Batsabaken match, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It's important to monitor the official sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Major announcements about the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also move the market. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.