TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Adan Freire Da Silva in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Thomas Faurel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Adan Freire Da Silva in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Thomas Faurel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time information and changing sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as they are influenced by different factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Faurel vs. Freire Da Silva match. The price of these shares reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Faurel vs. Freire Da Silva match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The platform will announce the resolution details once confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could shift expectations and influence trading activity in this market, potentially causing significant price fluctuations.