TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sean HODKIN and Damien Clerc in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sean HODKIN' if Sean HODKIN advances against Damien Clerc. This market will resolve to 'Damien Clerc' if Damien Clerc advances against Sean HODKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sean HODKIN and Damien Clerc in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sean HODKIN' if Sean HODKIN advances against Damien Clerc. This market will resolve to 'Damien Clerc' if Damien Clerc advances against Sean HODKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the 'wisdom of the crowd' differs from expert analysis. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbooks, offering a dynamic view of expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match, influenced by available information and participant sentiment. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Nevers match between Sean HODKIN and Damien Clerc. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout and at what rate, based on the final price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in similar competitions or shifts in public opinion could also contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume closer to the event date, driven by new information or increased attention, is also likely to cause volatility in this market.