TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Theate and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Theate' if Paul Theate advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Paul Theate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Theate and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Theate' if Paul Theate advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Paul Theate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering an edge over fixed sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your overall research.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for rapid adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Paul Theate vs Yannis Batsabaken match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form, or even public comments from coaches, could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's direction.