TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lofo Ramiaramanana and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lofo Ramiaramanana' if Lofo Ramiaramanana advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Lofo Ramiaramanana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lofo Ramiaramanana and Yannis Batsabaken in the M25 Nevers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lofo Ramiaramanana' if Lofo Ramiaramanana advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Lofo Ramiaramanana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders willing to buy or sell based on their individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or subtle changes in the perceived likelihood of an outcome than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of information, allowing the collective intelligence of the crowd to shape the odds. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on the latest insights.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ramiaramanana vs Batsabaken match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.