TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaury Raynel and Loann Massard in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Loann Massard. This market will resolve to 'Loann Massard' if Loann Massard advances against Amaury Raynel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaury Raynel and Loann Massard in the M25 Nevers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Loann Massard. This market will resolve to 'Loann Massard' if Loann Massard advances against Amaury Raynel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers. This could be due to unique insights held by traders or a differing assessment of the athletes' form and potential performance in the Raynel vs Massard match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Raynel vs Massard match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Raynel vs Massard match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the event organizers, representing which player emerged victorious. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The resolution process focuses on objective verification of the match's outcome, ensuring a transparent and reliable result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift probabilities. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media and expert analysis, might also play a role, influencing trader behavior. Furthermore, any updates concerning the match schedule or venue could introduce uncertainty and affect the price of shares representing different outcomes in the Raynel vs Massard match.