TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 1:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Romain Faucon and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Romain Faucon' if Romain Faucon advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Romain Faucon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Romain Faucon and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Romain Faucon' if Romain Faucon advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Romain Faucon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the two can reveal insights into market sentiment and potential value, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Faucon vs Barsukov match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Meerbusch match between Romain Faucon and Nikolai Barsukov. Any official announcements regarding the match’s completion and the declared winner will serve as the basis for determining the market’s settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or any changes to the match schedule could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence (or lack thereof) from either player could also move the market. Public sentiment and any significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could also contribute to price fluctuations before the market resolves.