TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Frederic Schlossmann in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Frederic Schlossmann. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Frederic Schlossmann in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Frederic Schlossmann. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to weigh various factors—player form, head-to-head records, even weather conditions—to arrive at their own probabilities. Sportsbooks, while employing analysts, ultimately set odds based on their own models and risk management strategies. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge, potentially indicating areas where the market believes sportsbooks have mispriced the event. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Meerbusch tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, offering a clear and transparent view of market sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meerbusch tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Frederic Schlossmann, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in form for either Lucio Ratti or Frederic Schlossmann would likely have a significant impact. Updates on playing conditions, such as weather forecasts or court surface changes, could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader tennis news, might prompt adjustments in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements before the Sep 10, 2026 resolution.