TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaspar Mathes and Eero Vasa in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaspar Mathes' if Kaspar Mathes advances against Eero Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Kaspar Mathes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaspar Mathes and Eero Vasa in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaspar Mathes' if Kaspar Mathes advances against Eero Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Kaspar Mathes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the most favored result according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kaspar Mathes vs Eero Vasa match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this event could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches.