TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Thomas Gerbaud in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Thomas Gerbaud in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Schlossmann vs Gerbaud match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the M25 Meerbusch match between Frederic Schlossmann and Thomas Gerbaud. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the winner of the match. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and based on established facts, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Frederic Schlossmann or Thomas Gerbaud could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or public opinion regarding the players' chances could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.