TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 2:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Iiro Vasa in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Iiro Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Iiro Vasa' if Iiro Vasa advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Iiro Vasa in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Iiro Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Iiro Vasa' if Iiro Vasa advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by actual money being wagered. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information or interpretations. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the event. Keep in mind that sportsbooks may also adjust their odds closer to the event based on betting patterns.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the current consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share priced at 30 means there is a 30% implied probability of that outcome being correct. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Meerbusch match between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Iiro Vasa. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could quickly move the odds. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders incorporate new information into their assessments.