TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amar Tahirovic and Liam Gavrielides in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Liam Gavrielides. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Amar Tahirovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amar Tahirovic and Liam Gavrielides in the M25 Meerbusch, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amar Tahirovic' if Amar Tahirovic advances against Liam Gavrielides. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Amar Tahirovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view through trading shares here. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This creates a dynamic and liquid market for predicting the result of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Meerbusch boxing match between Amar Tahirovic and Liam Gavrielides. The platform will look to established boxing news sources and official records to determine the winner, or if the match ends in a draw. The final result will then be used to determine which shares payout and at what value.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any last-minute changes to the match details could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter strategies or potential injuries would likely impact prices. Public opinion, as reflected in boxing news and social media, could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning will likely lead to increased volume and price adjustments in this market.