TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M25 Kigali: Yshai Oliel vs Courtney John Lock
- Polymarket
M25 Kigali: Yshai Oliel vs Courtney John Lock - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 29, 7:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Courtney John Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yshai Oliel' if Yshai Oliel advances against Courtney John Lock. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Yshai Oliel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Courtney John Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yshai Oliel' if Yshai Oliel advances against Courtney John Lock. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Yshai Oliel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Courtney John Lock. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match, as confirmed by official tournament results. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on widely accepted tennis officiating standards and reporting.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also trigger movement. Additionally, large trades from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment can all contribute to changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 6, 2026.