TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman and Nicholas Van Aken in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman' if Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman advances against Nicholas Van Aken. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Van Aken' if Nicholas Van Aken advances against Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman and Nicholas Van Aken in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman' if Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman advances against Nicholas Van Aken. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Van Aken' if Nicholas Van Aken advances against Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. Frequently, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or even sportsbook lines, as traders have 'skin in the game' and continuously update their assessments as new information becomes available. This dynamic can lead to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential results. The current probability of a particular outcome is indicated by the share price, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman and Nicholas Van Aken. The platform will verify the winner through sources like official tournament websites and recognized sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as recorded by these authoritative sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor court), or even updates on player form and recent performance could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the probabilities assigned to each player. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either Rishabhdev Rajshekar Raman or Nicholas Van Aken winning will likely be reflected in the market price.