TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Terblanche and Mayank Sharma in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Terblanche' if Ethan Terblanche advances against Mayank Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Mayank Sharma' if Mayank Sharma advances against Ethan Terblanche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Terblanche and Mayank Sharma in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Terblanche' if Ethan Terblanche advances against Mayank Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Mayank Sharma' if Mayank Sharma advances against Ethan Terblanche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds provides an interesting perspective on public sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of its users.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Ethan Terblanche and Mayank Sharma. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is dependent on the official completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move the market. The closer we get to Oct 5, 2026, the more sensitive the market will likely be to new developments.