TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darrshan Suresh and Vansh Janghu in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darrshan Suresh' if Darrshan Suresh advances against Vansh Janghu. This market will resolve to 'Vansh Janghu' if Vansh Janghu advances against Darrshan Suresh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darrshan Suresh and Vansh Janghu in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darrshan Suresh' if Darrshan Suresh advances against Vansh Janghu. This market will resolve to 'Vansh Janghu' if Vansh Janghu advances against Darrshan Suresh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome, but through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M25 Kigali tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct expression of what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Darrshan Suresh and Vansh Janghu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading activity from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to evolving information.