TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chetanna Amadike and Zachary Mintz in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chetanna Amadike' if Chetanna Amadike advances against Zachary Mintz. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Mintz' if Zachary Mintz advances against Chetanna Amadike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chetanna Amadike and Zachary Mintz in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chetanna Amadike' if Chetanna Amadike advances against Zachary Mintz. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Mintz' if Zachary Mintz advances against Chetanna Amadike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade against it on Polymarket, driving the prediction market price closer to their assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as an event approaches and more information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought, the price of those shares increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and it adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time probability estimate for the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali match between Chetanna Amadike and Zachary Mintz. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their playing strategy could shift trader sentiment. Updates on weather conditions, which might affect the match, could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity from well-informed traders or large volume trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the market.