TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between AUM HIREN THAKKAR and Fred Barry Nimubona in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'AUM HIREN THAKKAR' if AUM HIREN THAKKAR advances against Fred Barry Nimubona. This market will resolve to 'Fred Barry Nimubona' if Fred Barry Nimubona advances against AUM HIREN THAKKAR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between AUM HIREN THAKKAR and Fred Barry Nimubona in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'AUM HIREN THAKKAR' if AUM HIREN THAKKAR advances against Fred Barry Nimubona. This market will resolve to 'Fred Barry Nimubona' if Fred Barry Nimubona advances against AUM HIREN THAKKAR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali match between AUM HIREN THAKKAR and Fred Barry Nimubona. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their strategies could shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches that impact their ranking or motivation might also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Major upsets or surprising performances during the tournament could lead to significant price movements in this market.