TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aniketh Venkataraman and Manzi rwamucyo David in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Manzi rwamucyo David. This market will resolve to 'Manzi rwamucyo David' if Manzi rwamucyo David advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aniketh Venkataraman and Manzi rwamucyo David in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Manzi rwamucyo David. This market will resolve to 'Manzi rwamucyo David' if Manzi rwamucyo David advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is reflected in the share price, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to verify the match’s result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either Aniketh Venkataraman or Manzi rwamucyo David in other tournaments leading up to the M25 Kigali event could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, could all contribute to price movements in this market.