TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Jun Ji He in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Jun Ji He. This market will resolve to 'Jun Ji He' if Jun Ji He advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Jun Ji He in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Jun Ji He. This market will resolve to 'Jun Ji He' if Jun Ji He advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trading. If sportsbooks and this market disagree, it may indicate that the crowd believes there is an edge not yet priced in by the bookmakers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate assessment of the likelihood of each result in the M25 Guiyang match. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Yue Xia and Jun Ji He, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments leading up to the M25 Guiyang match could cause significant price movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader trends in the tournament could also impact traders’ beliefs and lead to adjustments in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.