TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 1:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Dong Kyu Lee in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Dong Kyu Lee. This market will resolve to 'Dong Kyu Lee' if Dong Kyu Lee advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Dong Kyu Lee in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Dong Kyu Lee. This market will resolve to 'Dong Kyu Lee' if Dong Kyu Lee advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it might indicate that the crowd perceives information differently or believes the sportsbook’s assessment is inaccurate. It’s always valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yue Xia vs Dong Kyu Lee match, as reported by the governing body of the M25 Guiyang tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament developments, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 22, 2026.