TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaoyu Yang and Xinyuan Xie in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Yaoyu Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaoyu Yang and Xinyuan Xie in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Yaoyu Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding unforeseen events or changing team dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yaoyu Yang vs Xinyuan Xie match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing perspectives on the likely winner of the match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yaoyu Yang vs Xinyuan Xie match as reported by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount depends on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match-ups could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analyses from sports experts, updated rankings, or even social media buzz surrounding the players could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances affecting the match schedule or location could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.