TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaoyu Yang and Fedor Dorokhov in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against Fedor Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Dorokhov' if Fedor Dorokhov advances against Yaoyu Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaoyu Yang and Fedor Dorokhov in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against Fedor Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Dorokhov' if Fedor Dorokhov advances against Yaoyu Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to express their beliefs, and prices adjust based on supply and demand. If a significant number of participants believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that pushes the prediction market price in a different direction, potentially revealing insights beyond traditional analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Yaoyu Yang and Fedor Dorokhov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning fighter. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals or events could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a change in venue or rules, could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements before Sep 20, 2026.