TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and XIAOYIN YANG in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against XIAOYIN YANG. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and XIAOYIN YANG in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against XIAOYIN YANG. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in analytical approaches. Observing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional odds, though this isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Xirui Han vs XIAOYIN YANG match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xirui Han vs XIAOYIN YANG match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updates on player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the event, such as changes in venue or rules, could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to the Sep 22, 2026 resolution of the Xirui Han vs XIAOYIN YANG match.