TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenbo Bai and Marcus Whitelock in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenbo Bai' if Wenbo Bai advances against Marcus Whitelock. This market will resolve to 'Marcus Whitelock' if Marcus Whitelock advances against Wenbo Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenbo Bai and Marcus Whitelock in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenbo Bai' if Wenbo Bai advances against Marcus Whitelock. This market will resolve to 'Marcus Whitelock' if Marcus Whitelock advances against Wenbo Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and house biases into their odds, while this market relies on individuals directly wagering on the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of the Wenbo Bai vs Marcus Whitelock match result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Wenbo Bai will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is determined by traders' collective assessment of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Wenbo Bai vs Marcus Whitelock match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the M25 Guiyang tournament. The platform will then determine the winning shares based on the confirmed outcome, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to the match.