TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 1:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenbo Bai and Lin Hao-Yu in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenbo Bai' if Wenbo Bai advances against Lin Hao-Yu. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Wenbo Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenbo Bai and Lin Hao-Yu in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenbo Bai' if Wenbo Bai advances against Lin Hao-Yu. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Wenbo Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wenbo Bai vs Lin Hao-Yu match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wenbo Bai vs Lin Hao-Yu match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased shares correspond to the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Wenbo Bai or Lin Hao-Yu, or changes in match conditions could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from influential participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.