TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 3:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sheng Tang and Zhao Zhao in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sheng Tang' if Sheng Tang advances against Zhao Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Sheng Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sheng Tang and Zhao Zhao in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sheng Tang' if Sheng Tang advances against Zhao Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Sheng Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sheng Tang vs Zhao Zhao match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sheng Tang vs Zhao Zhao match, as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 23, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or any controversies surrounding the match are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also signal shifts in market opinion and trigger further price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.