TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 12:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sheng Tang and Artem Markelov in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sheng Tang' if Sheng Tang advances against Artem Markelov. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Sheng Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sheng Tang and Artem Markelov in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sheng Tang' if Sheng Tang advances against Artem Markelov. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Sheng Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Sheng Tang vs Artem Markelov match, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on discrepancies, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sheng Tang vs Artem Markelov match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of each participant winning, and it's constantly updated based on supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sheng Tang vs Artem Markelov match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will announce the resolution and payout details promptly after verification.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of Sheng Tang or Artem Markelov, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match’s location or format could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities reflected in the market price. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.