TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Wang and Yile Li in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Wang' if Oscar Wang advances against Yile Li. This market will resolve to 'Yile Li' if Yile Li advances against Oscar Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Wang and Yile Li in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Wang' if Oscar Wang advances against Yile Li. This market will resolve to 'Yile Li' if Yile Li advances against Oscar Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent different forms of opinion and are subject to their own biases.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Oscar Wang and Yile Li, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Oscar Wang or Yile Li would also be a key catalyst. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other tournaments, could indirectly affect confidence in certain players and, therefore, the odds on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.