TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolai Barsukov and Nino Ehrenschneider in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Nino Ehrenschneider. This market will resolve to 'Nino Ehrenschneider' if Nino Ehrenschneider advances against Nikolai Barsukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolai Barsukov and Nino Ehrenschneider in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Nino Ehrenschneider. This market will resolve to 'Nino Ehrenschneider' if Nino Ehrenschneider advances against Nikolai Barsukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and incentives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular outcome in the Barsukov vs Ehrenschneider match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a specific outcome in the Barsukov vs Ehrenschneider match, and provides a signal of the market's overall expectation.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Nikolai Barsukov and Nino Ehrenschneider. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets from large traders on Polymarket could create short-term price movements. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Barsukov vs Ehrenschneider match has the potential to move the market.